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Просмотр полной версии : The Global Risks Barometer - World Economic Forum 2011


Админ
12.01.2011, 21:34
The Global Risks Barometer

Global Risks 2011 (http://riskreport.weforum.org/)

The World Economic Forum (http://www.weforum.org/)


http://tctechcrunch.files.wordpress.com/2009/02/wef.jpg

The global risks barometer assesses the influencing factors, global impact and risk perceptions of the 37 risks in the five risk categories:

economic,
geopolitical,
societal,
environmental and
technological

at a global level.

In Global Risks 2011, Sixth Edition, the influencing factors and global impact have been generated and refined though the 18 workshops with experts in each risk category. The risk perception characteristics, which include key interconnections, likelihood, severity, and variation in perception and confidence level are data extracted from the Global Risks Survey 2010.

The barometer is designed to trigger discussions on global risks at multiple levels: at an individual risk level to understand the factors that influence the risk and its consequences described as global impact, in relationship with the highly interconnected risks to understand the directionality and the feedback loop with other risks, and at a systemic level as it has been illustrated in the Global Risk Landscape.

The barometer is a living document for several reasons. First, the risks that have been captured at a global level do not necessarily play out at a local level in a similar manner hence there is a need for further discussion. Second, the risk characteristics evolve as the world moves on. Lastly, there are many interpretations on how the risks may be influenced and impacted; hence there is a broader need to continually improve the work. Readers are encouraged to provide constructive contribution to further elaborate this living document that will feed into future Global Risks reports.




Landscape (http://riskreport.weforum.org/#/?re_layout=1&re_IDs=17,18,21,29,33,37,7,8,27,28,35,2,3,5,6,9,12 ,13,14,15,19,20,23,25,26,30,34,36,4,16,22,1,10,11, 24,31,32)

Global Interconnections - Global Risks in 2011 (http://riskreport.weforum.org/#/?re_layout=0&re_IDs=17,18,21,29,33,37,7,8,27,28,35,2,3,5,6,9,12 ,13,14,15,19,20,23,25,26,30,34,36,4,16,22,1,10,11, 24,31,32)

Download Barometer - 1MB - 38p. (http://riskreport.weforum.org/#/?re_layout=0&re_IDs=)

Videos (http://riskreport.weforum.org/#/videos)

Global Risks 2011 Highlights

Global Risks 2011, Sixth Edition reveals insights stemming from an unparalleled effort on the part of the World Economic Forum to analyse the global risk landscape in the coming decade.

The world is in no position to face major, new shocks. The financial crisis has reduced global economic resilience, while increasing geopolitical tension and heightened social concerns suggest that both governments and societies are less able than ever to cope with global challenges. Yet, as Global Risks 2011, Sixth Edition shows, we face ever-greater concerns regarding global risks, the prospect of rapid contagion through increasingly connected systems and the threat of disastrous impacts.

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Cross-cutting global risks
Economic disparity and global governance failures


Two risks are especially significant given their high degrees of impact and interconnectedness. Economic disparity and global governance failures both influence the evolution of many other global risks and inhibit our capacity to respond effectively to them.

Watch video (http://riskreport.weforum.org/#/videos-cross-cutting-global-risks)

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Risks in focus 1
The macroeconomic imbalances nexus


The report’s first nexus analyzed in depth consists of a cluster of three economic risks – global imbalances and currency volatility, fiscal crises and asset price collapse – and is characterized by both internal imbalances (within countries) and external imbalances (between countries).

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Risks in focus 2
The illegal economy nexus

Illicit trade, organized crime and corruption are chronic risks that are perceived as highly likely to occur and of medium impact to experts interviewed for the report. As a highly interconnected nexus representing the illegal economy, however, experts see these risks as of central importance to the global risk landscape. Both Global Risks Survey data and expert interviews suggest that this nexus heavily influences three other important global risks – fragile states, terrorism and geopolitical conflict– which, in turn, have a significant and negative impact on global stability.

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Risks in focus 3
The water-food-energy nexus

Water security, food security and energy security are chronic impediments to economic growth and social stability. These are tighly interrelated: food production requires water and energy; water extraction and distribution requires energy; and energy production requires water. Food prices are also highly sensitive to the cost of energy inputs through fertilizers, irrigation, transport and processing.

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Админ
12.01.2011, 21:55
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